War Could Add 5% Inflation in Australia—One Shield
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Title
War Could Add 5% Inflation in Australia—One Shield
Subject
Modelling shows a prolonged Middle East conflict could lift Australian inflation by about 5%, driven by higher fuel, freight and production costs. Moderate disruption: GDP down 0.02%, prices up ~0.6%. Severe disruption: GDP down 0.16%, prices up ~5.1% by September. Energy exports cushion the hit; policy focus should be targeted relief and accelerating renewables investment.
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